US House of Representatives

T'was the night before Election, and all through the (U.S.) House...

Gerry Mander is not as strong as he was:

The GOP’s current 10-3 advantage relied on concentrating Democratic voters into some districts and splitting Democratic strongholds in others, a strategy known as “cracking and packing.” North Carolina’s new districts, now much more unpacked and uncracked than the previous iteration, all but assures a two-seat Democratic gain in districts centered in the Triangle and Triad, making the partisan split at least 8-5.

Whether the outcome this year stays 8-5 or results in further gains for Democrats hinges on a presidential race in a state with shifting demographics and a history of bouncing between parties on top of the ticket races.

Picking up (at least) two more seats in our Congressional Delegation is something positive to chew on these days. But I get an even bigger warm fuzzy knowing that North Carolina is actively defending or even growing the Democratic majority in the U.S. House. We are moving progress forward, not just helplessly watching from the fringe. That two seat gain is a victory we shouldn't take for granted, even if we fall short on these (three) other seats:

Taking back the U.S. House somewhere between possible and probable

Little Donnie just might have an aneurysm:

A flurry of Republican retirements has led to 42 open seats, many of them the sort of well-entrenched incumbents in competitive districts whose retirements are the most valuable for Democrats. The Democrats have succeeded in recruiting well-funded and strong candidates in many of the battlegrounds, which has tended to lessen the advantage of incumbency even in the districts where Republicans are running for re-election. A court decision in Pennsylvania has eliminated the party’s gerrymander there.

Democrats appear highly competitive in many conservative districts. Already, there are polls showing Democrats ahead in Kentucky’s Sixth District, West Virginia’s Third, North Carolina’s Ninth, New York’s 22nd and Montana’s at-large district. Mr. Trump won each by at least 10 points.

We should issue the obligatory caution about counting chickens before they hatch and go vote, but things are looking much better than I thought they would, even as recently as a few months ago. And it looks like we're making headway in many rural districts, which is fantastic news:

DCCC ready to step up for Dan McCready against Pittenger

This might get pretty dang interesting:

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is naming 11 candidates Wednesday in the first round of its Red to Blue program, which highlights strong Democratic recruits. The list of 11 candidates, obtained first by Roll Call, includes recruits running in 10 competitive Republican-held seats and in an open seat Democrats are hoping to keep blue.

Being named to Red to Blue opens doors for candidates who can tout their inclusion on the list to donors. Candidates also benefit from guidance and staff resources from the DCCC, which has been in contact with all Democratic House candidates who have been willing to collaborate and communicate with the committee this year. The DCCC evaluates candidates’ fundraising, grass-roots engagement, local support, ties to the community and campaign infrastructure when deciding who makes the cut for the program.

Of all the Dem Congressional candidates who have been popping up over the last couple of months, Dan has emerged as (by far) the best fundraiser, approaching 3/4 of a million already. He's also a veteran and a renewable energy supplier, which would have me supporting him even if the DCCC wasn't involved. It's still a tough race to win, but if anybody could do it, it would be Dan.

Science vs. industry: Climate Change battle rages in Congress

When all else fails, use intimidation and coercion:

Rep. Lamar Smith (R-Tex.), chairman of the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology, has subpoenaed scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and demanded that they turn over internal e-mails related to their research. Their findings contradicted earlier work showing that global warming had paused, and Smith, a climate change skeptic, has accused them of altering global temperature data and rushing to publish their research in the June issue of the journal Science.

On Tuesday, seven scientific organizations representing hundreds of thousands of scientists sent an unsparing letter to Smith, warning that his efforts are “establishing a practice of inquests” that will have a chilling effect.

This is standard operating procedure for these ignorant bullies. They don't want these e-mails for scientific purposes, they just want to parse the communications for any little nugget they can take out-of-context to create a nefarious conspiracy. But this is not just a "partisan" issue; the not-so-invisible hand of the fossil fuel industry is pulling Lamar Smith's strings:

Battle brewing over Boehner's replacement

The right-wing nutters are becoming apoplectic:

It is infuriating to hear that these people in the House are seriously looking to replace Boehner with his co-conspirator Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA). McCarthy — whose voting record is slightly to the right of Renee Ellmers — has stood with Boehner as House conservatives have been retaliated against.

He’s stood with Boehner as attempts to kill Obamacare, stop amnesty, and halt debt ceiling increases have been squashed. (As have fellow House leadership team members Virginia Foxx and Patrick McHenry.) McCarthy and other House leaders have fretted over demanding the defunding of Planned Parenthood because the fight would likely lead to a government shutdown. Tell me again what’s so bad about a government shutdown.

Bolding his. Aside from the fact that Soldiers, Sailors, Air Force, Marines and Coast Guard will have their paychecks stopped this time around, if you'd take a peek outside your ideological bubble you would realize that a super-majority of US citizens do *not* want the government shut down. But go right ahead, that may be the only thing that could make Republican gerrymandering of the House a secondary consideration. And the fact Boehner has allowed the House to vote 55 times (or maybe more, I've lost count) to repeal Obamacare, the only thing that's been "squashed" is the taxpayers' expectation of responsible governing from that body. The crazy is going to get epic before this is over.

WNCN: 'spirited debate Monday in Pinehurst'

Ellmers gets ugly in debate with Clay Aiken

The hour-long debate before delegates to a North Carolina Bankers Association conference will be broadcast at 7 p.m. Monday on WRAL and at 11 p.m. on WRAZ Fox 50. The video will also be available for viewing on WRAL.com through Election Day.

Read more at http://www.wncn.com/story/26715341/ellmers-aiken-clash-in-congressional-debate from WNCN in Raleigh.

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