With all due respect to my friend, Oliver Queen, I - as a Cal Cunningham supporter - was certainly bouyed by these recent findings from our friends at Public Policy Polling. It appears that for all of the Facebook groups urging my guy to drop out, all of the anonymous Twitter attacks against him and the constant slaving over every comment I, or anyone else, posts here on BlueNC -- it appears that we do not sway voters in the droves we wish. Rather, it looks like Cal Cunningham does a much better job at that than any of us.
Trust me, that hurts me as much as it hurts anyone else on here. BlueNC does occupy a powerful, necessary space in policy discourse, debate and outreach. But, as I myself so often forget, the internet is not the voting booth, or the town hall event, or the canvass. Online outreach and messaging is definitely part of every effective campaign communication plan - I'd be a hypocrite if I didn't acknowledge that, or the hard work folks on this site and so many others do to educate folks on issues and galvanize support for the cause and/or politician they support.
Heck, I want every post I write to start a revolution or alter the opinions of every single person who reads it, but, I will leave it to my friend, Mr. Bill Murray, to put the constant handwringing, online poll voting and continuous internet spin into its proper context (it gets good about the 0:55 mark!)
I'll let Mr. Jensen himself encapsulate what he finds and thinks DOES actually matter:
Last week's results showed that Marshall has more support than Cunningham, but whether that translates into those voters caring enough about her to come back in June is something we really won't know the answer to until the results are in. The question for both Marshall and Cunningham is how many of the people who came out last week were drawn by the US Senate race and how many of them were drawn by a Sheriff/District Attorney/County Commissioner/other local race? This first poll suggests that Marshall may have drawn more of her support from that latter group, and that it won't necessarily translate to those folks being there for her again next month.
With a lot of voters undecided and the unpredictable nature of determining who will vote in runoffs it's hard to say what will happen in this race. The biggest takeaway from the poll is that Cunningham is still in it.
So, friends, at least from this one snapshot that Mr. Jensen has released, at this point and time, Cunningham voters "appear" to support him more strongly than Marshall voters do her. Does that mean it will translate to a victory in the runoff? Who knows (even Jensen admits as much)? But, as one of longest professed Cunningham for Senate supporters, on or offline, I gotta say that it looks as though his message, his vision and his continual grassroots groundswell (i.e. sending Cal, staff or volunteers to 93 of 100 NC County Conventions over 2 weekends) is starting to pay off.
But on that, I certainly speak only for myself.