Richard Brrrrrrrr not lookin' so good

From the polling guys at Daily Kos:

Our most recent poll from Research 2000 pits Democrats Roy Cooper, the current Attorney General of North Carolina, and Richard Moore, the state's former Treasurer, against the state's senior Senator Richard Burr. As expected, Burr is going to have a tough race on his hands if Moore or Cooper runs, a scenario which would present yet another major headache for newly minted NRSC chair John Cornyn.

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 1/5-7. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines).

Burr (R) 45
Cooper (D) 43

Burr (R) 46
Moore (D) 40

Very nice-looking numbers for the two Democrats.

Nearly two years out, both of them have the incumbent under 50%, and Cooper is just two points shy of the Senator. Unsurprisingly, Moore's numbers aren't quite as strong as Cooper's - while Cooper was handily reelected as Attorney General in 2008, Moore suffered a loss in a rather acrimonious primary for Governor (fortunately for Democrats, the winner of the primary, Beverly Perdue, is Governor today).

Still, Moore's strong numbers indicate that Democrats have a good shot at the seat even if Cooper, the consensus top choice for the race, decides against a run.



The comments at Kos

are a sharp reminder that most people who weigh in on matters involving North Carolina don't have a clue what they're talking about. Take a moment to scan them ... you'll see why some think the blogosphere is nuttin' but a forum for 10th graders trading uninformed opinions.

Embarrassing, really.

Some of those comments

are probably from some of the same people who informed me that North Carolina would never go for Obama and we needed to just get over it and stop wasting our time and money. Yeah. Right.

Vote Democratic! The ass you save may be your own.

Good Work

Just saw this info and was getting ready to post it myself. You are too quick.

Regardless, great looking numbers with 22 months to go. We are going to do this.

-- A liberal originally from Yadkin County. Did I just blow your mind?

Thanks, Corndogg

I'll slow down next time ... if I knew you were out there ready to pounce I would have laid low!


Burr's Chances are related directly to Hagan's effectivity

Burr's chances, I think, are heavily weighted by how Kay Hagan performs these next two years.

there comes a time when one must take a position that is neither safe, nor politic, nor popular, but he must do it because Conscience tells him it is right. MLK,Jr. to SCLC Leadership Class

Blue. Turning blue!

Bye bye burrdie!

North Carolina. Turning the South Blue!

More news about 2010.

This is from First Read by Chuck Todd.

From NBC's Ken Strickland, Mark Murray and Domenico Montanaro
As was widely expected after rumors in the past week surfaced, Ohio Sen. George Voinovich (R) officially announced in a written statement that he would be retiring at the end of his term in 2010.
NBC's Chuck Todd reported yesterday that Voinovich would retire and added this context: "He is the third GOP senator to retire in a month, following Florida's Mel Martinez and Missouri's Kit Bond. Also, Kansas GOP Sen. Sam Brownback is widely expected to run for governor in 2010, rather than seek re-election, meaning the minority party already is set to defend four open seats."
In a bit of expectations-lowering, National Republican Senatorial Committee chairman John Cornyn (R-TX) acknowledged the difficult environment that is already shaping up for Republicans in 2010.

Things might go bad for us since we are in charge, but yet the environment for Democrats in 2010 is looking good.

Jesus Swept ticked me off. Too short. I loved the characters and then POOF it was over.

Thoughts on Poll?

This poll shows a 93% name id for Richard Burr. That is hard for me to believe. I would have pegged it below 50%. Anyone have any ideas how that could be?

Not sure

But PPP's recent poll said Burr had 30 points less name id. I find their number much more believable.

"Keep the Faith"

Brain Dead Poll by a Alien Lizard?

This poll shows a 93% name id for Richard Burr. That is hard for me to believe.* JayBlair

You got that right! No doubt the Pollest was confuse and thought Senator Burr was Perry Mason. If Senator Burr has a 93% name ID, than the Alien Lizards have landed and taken over the White House with Obama as the Head Wizard........


I have to say this. I talk to lots of Repubs who think that Burr is the "next big thing."

As we know, there was a point where Burr was on the list of potential VP candidates.

Taking that into consideration, as well as how bad the GOP will fight to prevent both NC seats from going blue, we need to take this election very, very seriously.

My guess is that Burr gets his name on a ton of legislation this year and raises a ton of dough as well.

Whoever plans to run against him, and I have said this before, better start yesterday.

This poll is inspiring, but watch closely.

Honey....every Republican without a sex scandal

on his record and with a perkier pulse than Johnny Mac's was on the potential VP list.....and the list wasn't very long.

Vote Democratic! The ass you save may be your own.

You ought to like repubs with sex scandals

Hey, if you'll check back, you'll see that if one particular repub in Illinois hadn't had a sex scandal, few people would have ever even heard of Barack Obama.

So, count your lucky stars repubs sometimes "fail" (isn't that the word?).

But, hey, repubs have had that advantage for the very same reason in past years as well...and I don't need to explain that, I'm all's fair, huh?

The best thinking is independent thinking.

I have a feeling we would have heard of Barack Obama

at some point, Smitty. It might have taken a bit longer if Ryan hadn't gotten his freaky on, but Obama's voice is one that was waiting to be heard.

The country was obviously ready for what he had to say.

Could be, Linda

What you're saying could be true. Obama may have eventually won a senate seat sometime in the future and he may possibly have managed to become the democratic nominee for the future. Could be true...could be untrue. We'll never know. But, the fact is, Obama is where he is in a VERY large part because of events that he, himself, had nothing to do with. Hey, you read my posts regularly here. I don't care who is president at this point. I think we ALL have to be extremely supportive of him. Yep, we should question his motives politically on some of the things he does...just as the left questions anything and everything the leaders on the right do. It makes our country stronger to question our leadership...that's one of the BlueNC liberal democrat mantras. It's not a one way street.

Obama being the nominee was a HUGE surprise to most democrats. He certainly wasn't most folks' first choice when it all began and few people believed he had even a small chance to get to where he ended up. Democrats will now make him their hero and the savior of the world and republicans will continue to reel at his victory. It's what happens. Your party has been know what I'm talking about.

The best thinking is independent thinking.

Was he who you thought the nominee would be initially?

That is my point.

Yep, his campaign was run well and even though he had a HUGE advantage with the anti-republican sentiment that prevailed, he ended up being the better candidate (as candidates go).

The best thinking is independent thinking.

Initially, I worked for the Edwards campaign.

I liked his vision of One America. However, it was obvious by Super Tuesday (I think?) that JRE wasn't going to succeed.

That said, I was never against Obama. I was disappointed with Edwards' showing, but now that we know of his personal troubles, we can be relieved that he didn't have to live those out in the middle of a Presidential campaign.

We do count our lucky stars

but not because "repubs sometimes "fail"", it's because they expose their own hypocrisy so clearly when they do.

"Expose their own hypocracy"

Um....I'm betting that knowledgeable folks could argue that "expose their own hypocracy" thing tit-for-tat on both sides of the aisle.


The best thinking is independent thinking.