Republicans take both houses of the NC General Assembly

I just received two separate reports (one for each house) listing the current results, and it looks like Republicans have won at least 63 seats in the NC House, and 30 seats in the NC Senate.

I know many reading this are truly disgusted right now, and are sorely tempted to wash their hands of the entire bloody affair, from politics to policy and all points in between. But frankly, way too many people in this country (and state) have already done that, which is why a ghost like Richard Burr is allowed to skate along so easily.

The book isn't finished yet, folks. It's just another chapter. And it's a chapter we're going to have to read very closely, because the well-being of many of our fellow North Carolinians is going to be at risk in the very near future.

Comments

How to govern in NC

BHO was on the ballot and ironically, a black president brought the NC state legislature out of the days of reconstruction. Start your days with vitriol about the book not being written but maybe, just maybe this is a good change for a state that have been dominated by one party

I think you mean

it took the reality of a black President to generate enough fear and anger in those who mourn the loss of complete domination of the mechanisms of government by white people, so they would stand up and reclaim their God-given right to rule.

And you're right. Race played a huge role in this election. Much more than taxes or the deficit or health care reform, or any other issue. And when this new group of legislators starts to unravel what's been woven, and the good ole boys and girls start falling through the safety net and realizing just how much they had been benefitting from and relying on sound and compassionate government, I hope they remember how they helped bring it about.

You have to compete to win.

I am a relatively new North Carolina resident. I live in the southern part of Mecklenburg County. The 148th precinct to be exact. What I found disheartening was to look at my ballot and see the incumbent Republican state senator running unopposed. The incumbent Republican state representative running unopposed. The Republican incumbent in my Board of Supervisors district running unopposed.

It is pretty hard to win when you aren't even playing. It is pretty hard to attract the volunteers who will do the organizational work that may put you in a position to win in the future when the climate is more favorable if you aren't in the game and giving them any reason to come forward today.

There are a lot of reasons for what happened yesterday. But if polling is to be believed (and it seems to have been pretty accurate about the results) voters may have voted for Republican candidates but they don't view the Republican Party very positively. They are likely to become quickly disenchanted with some of those elected yesterday. We need to get to work now in order to be positioned to take maximum advantage of that at the next opportunity.

Fielding a full slate of candidates rather than leaving so much uncontested might be a good idea too.

Unfortunately, many districts are not competitive

but we never have a chance to make them competitive if we don't field candidates. Welcome to NC. I'm in Union County, but was born and raised in Charlotte.



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Vote Democratic! The ass you save may be your own.

If you read my comment

you will actually see that I'm not offering it as an excuse...simply making a statement.



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Vote Democratic! The ass you save may be your own.

You are right, I misread your comment

I make a hobby of jumping to conclusions. Especially when severly sleep deprived--which I am now after trying to read and write about the election for the past 3 weeks+

My apology. This is an issue I am particularly concerned about, you probably guessed.

Martha Brock

Of course, I have never jumped to conclusions

ahem

(That sound you hear are BlueNC lurkers and long-time readers wetting themselves from laughing so hard)

:)

We further the message and more easily coordinate GOTV when we run in every race. What the party needs to come up with is a system that promotes/trains/rewards those willing to jump into races where the odds are against them. People need to understand that building name recognition can be reward enough for running in a local (lesser expensive) race. However, they need to feel they aren't in it all alone.



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Vote Democratic! The ass you save may be your own.

Same here in Moore

NC House: Unopposed Rep
NC Senate: Unopposed Rep
County Commission: 2 Unopposed Rep's
Several other unopposed Reps down ballot (Clerk, etc.)

I don't know if it has to do with party affiliation or just that they were unopposed, but about 25-30% of voters casting ballots did not vote for most of the unopposed candidates.

My letter to the editor

I just sent a letter to the editor of the N&O. I don't think it will be published, but it pretty much covers how I feel:

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So Senator Burr has been reelected. I have two questions for our returning senator:
1) When can North Carolina expect our next judicial nominee to complete the confirmation process? Will it be 1 1/2 years, the time Justice Wynn's nomination was sat on, or will it be another six years when you are again up for reelection?
2) As you were one of thirty senators who voted against giving raped women their day in court when you voted against the Franken Amendment, when can we expect your next vote to suppress the rights of sexually abused women?
-------

Sometimes we must simply Stand

Hi Steve....

Your sentiment reminds me of the lyrics to a song.. "What do you do when you've done all you can and it seems you can't make it through?.......Well you just stand".

You are right... When you have lost anything at all....that is the worst time to give up... Democrats must stand in the face of this defeat.... I admire your willingness to say that.

I am still in Baghdad with the U.S. Commission on Wartime Contracting, but will return soon... I hope to get right back on that horse when I get there... Be well my friend. NC Needs you and those like you.

No... I did not die, or go to prison.....It may just seem that way.

Marshall Adame
2014 U.S. Congress Candidate NC-03

Thanks, Marshall

And thanks for your (family's) service to our country.

Be safe, my friend, and we'll keep a light on for ya'. :)

we're all waiting...

...with bated breath...

"...i feel that if a person can't communicate, the very least he can do is to shut up." --tom lehrer, january 1965

"Congratulations, folks. I

"Congratulations, folks. I can't say that I'm happy about the results, or all the money that was spent to achieve them, but everybody deserves the right to feel like they can win. From time to time. :)"

You are a class act whom I am proud to call a blog buddy. When you're in GSO...

cheripickr

Heh

There's still no response over there. But being "studiously ignored" is not something I'm a stranger to. To which. Whatever.

Well then I guess I'll just

Well then I guess I'll just have to fix that, won't I?

cheripickr

Can someone please list the

Can someone please list the exact state House and Senate districts that turned over?

Thanks.

Districts that flipped

Here are the districts that flipped to the Republicans and their incumbents:

House Districts
District 3 (Craven, Pamlico)-Alice Underhill, defeated
District 4 (Duplin, Onslow)-Russell Tucker, retired
District 6 (Beaufort, Pitt)-Arthur Williams, defeated
District 10 (Greene, Lenoir, Wayne)-Van Braxton, defeated
District 25 (Nash)-Randy Stewart, defeated
District 41 (Wake)-Chris Heagarty, defeated
District 46 (Hoke, Scotland, Robeson)-Douglas Yongue, defeated
District 49 (Franklin, Halifax, Nash)-John May, defeated
District 51 (Harnett, Lee)-Jimmy Love, defeated
District 65 (Rockingham)-Nelson Cole, defeated
District 77 (Rowan)-Lorene Coates, defeated
District 81 (Davidson)-Hugh Holliman, defeated
District 88 (Alexander, Catawba)-Ray Warren, retired
District 93 (Ashe, Watauga)-Cullie Tarleton, defeated
District 112 (Rutherford, Cleveland)-Bob England, retired
District 116 (Buncombe)-Jane Whilden, defeated

Senate Districts
District 5 (Greene, Pitt, Wayne)-Don Davis, defeated
District 8 (Brunswick, Columbus, Pender)-R.C. Soles, retired
District 9 (New Hanover)-Julia Boseman, retired
District 10 (Duplin, Lenoir, Sampson)-Charlie Albertson, retired
District 11 (Nash, Wilson)-A.B. Swindell, defeated
District 19 (Bladen, Cumberland)-Margaret Dickson, defeated
District 24 (Alamance, Caswell)-Tony Foriest, defeated
District 43 (Gaston)-David Hoyle, retired
District 45 (Alexander, Ashe, Watauga, Wilkes)-Steve Goss, defeated
District 47 (Avery, Haywood, Mitchell, Madison, McDowell, Yancey)-Joe Sam Queen, defeated
District 50 (Cherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood, Jackson, Macon, Swain, Transylvania)-John Snow, defeated

Thank you

n/t

New rule:

If you're a Democrat who has been holding onto a seat in a Republican-leaning District thanks to some magical spell you've cast over the electorate, you can't retire until I say it's okay. Or until you do something really stupid. But you still need to check with me first. Thank you for your cooperation.

How many total Dem V Rep in GA

How many Dems & how many Reps in Senate?
How many Dems & how many Reps in House?

I've heard they need 3/5ths to pass a constitutional marriage discrimination amendment to get it on the ballot. And that the Governor has no veto power in this regard. Also, that is has no chance of not happening if it makes it to the ballot.

So I want to know where to target resistance efforts w/in the General Assembly?

Well

The House will be 68R-52D (57%R-43%D) and the Senate will be 31R-19D (62%R-38%D). The main way we've been able to stop that amendment in the past is by pigeonholing it for years in a committee in the Senate but that will no longer be an option with the GOP in charge. Assuming every Republican voted for the bill, it would pass the Senate and only need 4 Democratic votes in the House, which I doubt would happen though since even the Democrats who would support the amendment on its merit know it would hurt the Democratic Party by boosting Republican turnout as has been the case in other states. So I think we can hold it off for now as long as the caucus stays together on this.

Is there any hope for cross overs

Any hope that a GOP would vote against this? Maybe looking at the list of where GOP just took over, could you name 1, 2, or 3 who came from the most left leaning districts of the places where there were take overs. I think finding even one GOP ally could go a long ways. Maybe not a strong ally, but even someone who would just abstain from voting on the issue.

Which GOP member comes from the most left leaning (or least right leaning) district?

Not sure

Of the Republican freshmen just elected, most are from Republican-leaning districts. The ones from swing districts (Glen Murphy (HD49), Mike Stone (HD51), G.L. Pridgen (HD46), Harry Warren (HD77)) all seem pretty conservative but don't mention the issue on their sites. Jonathan Jordan, who beat Cullie Tarleton in the swingy Watauga/Ashe district explicitly mentions supporting the amendment on his page. The Republican from the district where Obama did best in 2008 (about 55%) is probably Tom Murry who beat Chris Heagarty in HD41, not sure where he stands on this issue. Other than those people, I can't really think of any Republicans in the state house who would be moderate enough to oppose this, and they might be worried about a primary challenge if they didn't. Hopefully the Democratic ranks will stay firm on this issue.

Going through all the election results

Using the info you provided, and the official elections result website, these are the ones that were within 10%

District 4 (Duplin, Onslow)- Jimmy Dixon
District 6 (Beaufort, Pitt)- Bill Cook
District 41 (Wake)- Tom Murry
District 46 (Hoke, Scotland, Robeson)- Gaston (G. L.) Pridgen
District 49 (Franklin, Halifax, Nash)- Glen Bradley
District 51 (Harnett, Lee)- Michael (Mike) Stone
District 77 (Rowan)- Harry Warren
District 93 (Ashe, Watauga)- Jonathan C. Jordan
District 116 (Buncombe)- Tim Moffitt

Okay, so I added 116 b/c it was close to 10% and Asheville is there, and we have allies there.

Out of all those, are there any others, other than Tom Murry? Am I right for thinking Buncombe is an area to consider?

According to the NC Family Policy Council Questionnaire

All of the Republicans listed above publicly support the amendment except for Pridgen, May, and Stone, who didn't respond but all seem pretty conservative from all their other statements.

Several Democrats said they supported the amendment: Tim Spear (HD02), Dewey Hill (HD20), and Bill Brisson (HD23).

How many total out of this list?

How many of the GOPs running in these races you mentioned either didn't respond, or declined to support the constitutional amendment on the questionnaire you're looking at? And which ones?

House Districts
District 3 (Craven, Pamlico)-Alice Underhill, defeated
District 4 (Duplin, Onslow)-Russell Tucker, retired
District 6 (Beaufort, Pitt)-Arthur Williams, defeated
District 10 (Greene, Lenoir, Wayne)-Van Braxton, defeated
District 25 (Nash)-Randy Stewart, defeated
District 41 (Wake)-Chris Heagarty, defeated
District 46 (Hoke, Scotland, Robeson)-Douglas Yongue, defeated
District 49 (Franklin, Halifax, Nash)-John May, defeated
District 51 (Harnett, Lee)-Jimmy Love, defeated
District 65 (Rockingham)-Nelson Cole, defeated
District 77 (Rowan)-Lorene Coates, defeated
District 81 (Davidson)-Hugh Holliman, defeated
District 88 (Alexander, Catawba)-Ray Warren, retired
District 93 (Ashe, Watauga)-Cullie Tarleton, defeated
District 112 (Rutherford, Cleveland)-Bob England, retired
District 116 (Buncombe)-Jane Whilden, defeated

Senate Districts
District 5 (Greene, Pitt, Wayne)-Don Davis, defeated
District 8 (Brunswick, Columbus, Pender)-R.C. Soles, retired
District 9 (New Hanover)-Julia Boseman, retired
District 10 (Duplin, Lenoir, Sampson)-Charlie Albertson, retired
District 11 (Nash, Wilson)-A.B. Swindell, defeated
District 19 (Bladen, Cumberland)-Margaret Dickson, defeated
District 24 (Alamance, Caswell)-Tony Foriest, defeated
District 43 (Gaston)-David Hoyle, retired
District 45 (Alexander, Ashe, Watauga, Wilkes)-Steve Goss, defeated
District 47 (Avery, Haywood, Mitchell, Madison, McDowell, Yancey)-Joe Sam Queen, defeated
District 50 (Cherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood, Jackson, Macon, Swain, Transylvania)-John Snow, defeated

Read more: http://www.bluenc.com/republicans-take-both-houses-nc-general-assembly#comment-137095#ixzz14Khm97pt

Or was that what you just gave me? Or were you going by my list narrowed down by those whose districts didn't swing as strongly to the right?

Any incumbent GOPs with moderate reputation?

District 4 (Duplin, Onslow)- Jimmy Dixon - 2.92%
District 41 (Wake)- Tom Murry – 7.38%
District 46 (Hoke, Scotland, Robeson)- Gaston (G. L.) Pridgen - 4.5%
District 49 (Franklin, Halifax, Nash)- Glen Bradley - 3.5%
District 77 (Rowan)- Harry Warren – 0.94%
District 116 (Buncombe)- Tim Moffitt - 11.64%

I narrowed down the list to people under 5% difference (except for Wake & Buncombe w/ Asheville), and took out Jordan (even though it was under 3%) b/c of his explicit support for the amendment.

Now are there any moderate republican incumbents, or republican incumbents in somewhat left leaning districts?

Some real losses on this list

Not to slight others I don't know about or well, but,

These re-election losses strike me as most important to future of Progressive Dems:
Margaret Dickson, District 19
Nelson Cole, district 65
Van Braxton, District 10
and worst loss of all, Alice Underhill (Craven, Pamlico)District 3.

I also am personally pissed at the loss of Wake County's Chris Heagarty, who is new to the NCGA, but held promise and lost his first election due to the dirty, underhanded tricks of the state GOP under former Raleigh Mayor Fetzer's leadership.

Chris is an engaging, knowledgeable advocate and former Exec. Director of the NC Center for Voter Education. He deserved to win, but could not overcome the trashy campaign of the local and state Republican Parties.

Also, I am not responding directly to another message in this thread from "Dr. Beth," who made a valiant effort at running out in western NC in an area that is a traditional bastion of the GOP.

However, here is a tip of the hat to her and the other three candidates endorsed by the NC Women's Political Caucus this year. All of them were first time candidates swimming against the tide. Like Beth Jones, they all lost, but they made a difference just by trying.

Finally, I cannot end without a tip of the hat to Leigh Rose of Charlotte, Elaine Marshall's volunteer Coordnator, who worked so hard to try to help elect a people's Senator for NC.

Leigh is also a fellow member of the NC Women's Political Caucus' Board of Directors. She is in mourning tonight.

Martha Brock

Some thoughts from a democrat who attempted the impossible

I was the democratic candidate for the open seat in NC Senate District 44 (open seat left vacant by retiring Jim Jacumin). As you might guess, I got stomped.

There hasn't been a democratic senator in this district in over 30 years. I outraised my opponent, and not to blow my own horn, but it was an extremely competitive race.

Towards the end, they brought out the usual attack devices-- calling me pro-abortion, anti-guns, and "too liberal for Caldwell County." I'm a veterinarian, and I had a few people call and request their records from my hospital because of the negative media attacks.

Let me be clear, I don't regret running for this seat. I personally learned so much, made great friends, and moved the process forward. However, I do understand why it's hard to get good, qualified, educated people to run in these districts. Although many people came through for me, it's hard to get regular donors to invest in a race with these odds. Because we are "Democrat deficient," it's difficult to build a base of volunteers, and many times the candidate is basically supporting the local party AND running a campaign.

I'm not complaining. As I said, I tried to make the experience memorable and valuable. I think we need to figure out how to help these folks if we expect them to run in these districts. I'm going to do some thinking on this myself. I agree that having competition for these Republicans depletes their resources and keeps them on the defense. It helps all the candidates.
Thanks to every one who supported me here in BlueNC. It's a tough year.
Beth

Proud to know you, Dr. Beth

I hope you'll stay in touch as we figure out how to reinvent BlueNC - and perhaps inspire a new cohort of Independent Democrats to take on establishment forces on both sides of the aisle.

Thank you so much for putting it on the line

I have a question:

How helpful was Raleigh? as in the NCDP, either materially or with advice/technical asistance?

I actively oppose gerrymandering. Do you?

They were helpful

The folks at the Senate Caucus office were helpful to me. They always responded with advice and any help they could provide. As we proceeded, they targeted the race, and we sent 5 directed mailers in the district. I am grateful for their help.

In addition, we had the tax check-off money this year that we've never had before. In our district, we used it county by county. Burke and Caldwell counties did a candidate guide that we mailed to every democrat in the district. We were more organized than ever. Our GOTV was better than ever. The Republicans couldn't decide which Rs they were supporting, and they were passing out three different sample ballots. It just didn't matter this year.

i'm trying to get a story together...

...about all this, and i wondered what you might think about a theory that suggests you have to create a narrative over longer time frames; that, essentially, we have to start campaigns really, really, early in the cycle, if only to make it appear that democrats are "out there", and not just campaigning in the last 45 days when many candidates do much of their messaging today?

"...i feel that if a person can't communicate, the very least he can do is to shut up." --tom lehrer, january 1965

I got 2 e-mails from Josh Stein's campaign

Basically it was one that said 3 weeks left! (you can donate or phonebank if you like)

And one that said 1 week left! (here's some info on voting, let us know if you want to work the polls for us)

Other than that I heard nothing, and he won.

A lot of the campaign listservs I'm on e-mailed me much more frequently and were participatory on blogs and other sites that I interact with... and they lost (I'm thinking Elaine Marshall, Billy Kennedy who I've supported for at least 11 months, heck, even Bob Etheridge was inviting me to events on facebook).

I mean I'm sure there were plenty of things I didn't hear about with Stein, but still.

I think this election was about national mood unhappy about the economy, national GOP energy, out of state money coming in, Art Pope money, Citzens United, and the luck of the draw with your district which is about to get worse.

Starting the narrative earlier can help probably but the National & State GOP & Corporate interest money behind Burr against State & local Dems behind Marshall. I don't think it matters how early the narrative starts under those circumstances. I think Campaign Finance Reform is the only thing that can.

A great campaign, & maybe a long campaign are necessary conditions for winning, but they are far from sufficient.

i heard very little...

...from suzanne del bene, who was running in my district against dave reichert, who is among the most useless members of congress ever. (never heard of him? that's why.)

i never heard from her until just before the august primary, which i could not understand either.

"...i feel that if a person can't communicate, the very least he can do is to shut up." --tom lehrer, january 1965