Poll results released

As some of you may recall, I posted a link to an on-line survey on the state of N.C. politics that a friend of mine is conducting. He's working for another acquaintance who is considering a run for a statewide office, and he wanted to find out some of the issues on the mind of concerned North Carolinians. My friend sent me the interim results today so I can post them here. Let me know if anything surprises you:

So far he has had 73 respondents - 27 Rs, 22 Ds, 14 Ind. and 10 others (don't know what they would be since there is no other officially sanctioned party at the moment), amazingly enough.

They were asked to rank nine issues on a scale of 1-5, with 1 being least important and 5 being most important. Here are the results of what they said were the most important issues:

High school dropout rate - 4.07
Road congestion - 3.85
Immigration - 3.79
Political scandals in Raleigh - 3.74
College tuition cost - 3.58
Insurance for poor - 3.37
Imminent domain - 3.03
Death penalty moratorium - 2.95
Same-sex marriage - 2.71

My analysis: It is interesting to note that the standard Republican issues of same-sex marriage, eminent domain and the death penalty came in a significant last, and this was with more Rs responding than Ds. Even immigration was third.

Among the other highlights, only 1 of 73 respondents said the state was taking the appropriate steps to get ready for the population increase, while 7 said their local governments were.

Only 18 of 73 respondents (less than 25 percent) said they had already decided who they were voting for in the gubernatorial race. 69 respondents said that politicians were influenced by campaign contributions, 50 said they did not believe that state legislators drew their districts fairly and 58 said our ballot access laws needed to be changed to make it easier for third-party or independent candidates to run.

What do ya'll make of these findings?



I'm not well-schooled in the science of polling, and I know full well that you can make statistics say anything you want them to, if you play with the words around them enough. I'd like to see how the data change as we get closer to election day. As for the traditional R issues coming in last - you had a preponderence of Dems and Independents (and other?). R's were definitely in the minority in your polling sample. You should break out just the Dems and Rs and see how the numbers fall. Then show where the numbers for each group fall - that would be instructive for all candidates and local parties.

Be the change you wish to see in the world. --Gandhi

What I make of the findings

Two things.

First, I would have liked to see a better list. There are no environmental issues. Nothing about corporate incentives and business interests.

Second, I'm glad to see that the wedge issues are less important.

That said, without insight into the methods, the questions and the analysis, it's hard to know whether any of these differences are actually real.