Many of the news shows I'm watching are saying the Democratic field is too close to call in Iowa. A few are concentrating only on Obama and Clinton. The print media and blogs were also all over the place today with their coverage.
I think Edwards wins Iowa. In the Washington Post this morning Dana Milbank completely ignored John Edwards, but he said something that made me think.
On Thursday night, America will finally have an answer to the question: Is Obama another Howard Dean, or can he win the nomination? Like Dean, he has challenged the Democratic establishment with a coalition of students and political independents. His candidacy, like Dean's, will collapse if they don't show up.
It is, in other words, a battle between the passion and the machine, between Hillary Clinton's establishment support and the superior enthusiasm of Obama's supporters.
The problem for Dana is that while Clinton might be the establishment candidate, she doesn't have the machine behind her in Iowa. John Edwards is the man with the well-oiled political operation in Iowa.
This was illustrated for us in a piece submitted by Jim Morrill of the Charlotte Observer and Rob Christensen of the Raleigh News & Observer.
But if Edwards is to win tonight's Iowa caucuses it will be because of the little-known soldiers in Edwards' army -- volunteers such as Tracy Hatfield, Julie Brown and Lauri Lumm-Usher.
Those three -- and an estimated 2,000 to 3,000 like them -- have spent much of the past year doing the unglamorous work of building a political organization for Edwards. They have given up weekends, holidays and evenings to work the phones and go door-to-door to build support.
The former N.C. senator has been building his Iowa organization for at least five years -- far longer than his Democratic rivals. Edwards and Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois are regarded as having the strongest Democratic organizations in the state.
The lifeblood of all the presidential organizations in Iowa are the precinct captains. The Edwards campaign says it has identified and trained captains for 95 percent of the 1,781 precincts. Most precincts have two or three captains.
For months, the captains have been lining up votes. Tonight, they will make one last pitch, trying to persuade the undecided and the supporters of those candidates who fail to muster the minimum 15 percent support needed to qualify under the caucus system to vote for Edwards.
Edwards ran away with the DailyKos straw poll and honestly, I would pick him to win Iowa even if I thought he wouldn't. (I also always pick the Heels to win the national championship.)
Here are my picks:
I don't care about the Republicans, so not going to waste my time. Enjoy the pictures and if you have one of yourself posing with a presidential canidate, please email it to me so I can add it to the pile.
My girls with the next president of the United States.
Sam and a bunch of people I don't recognize. Well...not really. I recognize Duncan Hunter. :)
Happy Iowa Caucus Day Y'all