Dole Still below 50%

A new poll has been released by Public Policy Polling. Following closely on the heels of this earlier poll, Elizabeth Dole is in big trouble.

For this poll, respondents were asked to choose between Dole and Etheridge. Etheridge has little name ID outside of his district. He is known mostly as a strong voice for his district, and for being a good run of the mill Democrat. However, very few people know him west of Raleigh.

And yet, he only loses to Elizabeth Dole 45-30.

This poll is especially significant when one considers that much of the people who know Etheridge probably also know that he is not running for Senate. He is happy in the new majority, and will not be running. But, he does have a big enough name that the DSCC would certainly be happy with him running.

What does it say when an incumbent Senator with massive name id cant beat an almost unknown congressman who isnt running with more than 50% of the vote?

Big news out of this poll though, is this:

Debnam said the polling group will pit other hypothetical candidates, perhaps including U.S. Rep. Brad Miller of Raleigh, against Dole in future polls.

Now, for poll specifics. (Beware of PDF)
First, Dole's approval is up from 36 approval and 36 disapproval from last month. She now stands at 43 approve and 31 disapproval. Healthy numbers for an incumbent would be 50-60 approve with under 25 disapproval. She is still not looking good.
Second, within Etheridge's district, he leads 42-41. Meaning that a Dem with name ID is going to beat her up.
Third, Etheridge's lack of name id significantly hurts him in important areas. For instance, among blacks statewide he only leads 47 to 12. Expect Dole to get under 15% no matter what on election day there.
Fourth, and most important for our chances is the Presidential numbers. Generic D presidential nominee leads Generic R presidential nominee 43 to 41.
Fifth, and almost as important, is strength of support. After answering who they wanted to be President, they were asked how important that choice was. 64% of people who wanted a Dem to win in 08 thought it was extremely important for a Democrat to win. only 56% of Republican supporters thought their choice as extremely important.

Some other important observations.
When asked if they support universal health care or the current system, UHC leads 51 to 37.
On the question of who should be president, we lead by 9 points amongst independent voters.

Please, help us defeat Elizabeth Dole. I would like Brad Miller to run, give him some hints with this petition or this ActBlue page. If you arent sure about Brad Miller, but want to see us beat Dole anyway, please give some money here.


rec'd and rec'd

Yes, it's an obsession

Robin Hayes lied. Nobody died, but thousands of folks lost their jobs.

Vote Democratic! The ass you save may be your own.


a GOOD obsession right? right?

maybe not.

Draft Brad Miller -- NC Sen ActBlue :::Petition

"Keep the Faith"

Excellent obsession

Robin Hayes lied. Nobody died, but thousands of folks lost their jobs.

Vote Democratic! The ass you save may be your own.

rec it JW

Robin Hayes lied. Nobody died, but thousands of folks lost their jobs.

Vote Democratic! The ass you save may be your own.

Hatred is a strong word

Let's just say I loathe that vile, putrid, moronic imbecile.

Robin Hayes lied. Nobody died, but thousands of folks lost their jobs.

Vote Democratic! The ass you save may be your own.

Dole numbers are interesting

I think that Dole's numbers are far more interesting than what Etheridge got. A key finding from this survey is that Dole is below 50% even against a relative unknown. Sub 50% is danger zone for incumbents.

I'd be careful about any linkage between the presidential race and the senate race. North Carolinians have been more than happy to ticket split between president and governor. And there is going to be a lot that happens between now and November 2008 that will affect the presidential race.

What is Ethradges stand on protecting

30,000 acres of land and the Number 1 non-government job for eastern North Carolina? Can anyone ask him that? we know where dole is. This guy will get 16 counties worth of votes if all he says is NO OLF!

Dole.... your days are numbered, your a lame duck and your the only fowl in eastern North Carolina that deserves to be butchered in 08.

If I remember

right Etheridge and Price have both joined Butterfield in a couple of letters to the admirals involved. I dont know how much he has done for it though.

However, judging by what Dole has been doing for OLF I cant imagine she is going to be doing well in those areas no matter what.

Draft Brad Miller -- NC Sen ActBlue :::Petition

"Keep the Faith"

I would love a copy of those letters

especially if these folks are setted elected officals..
I am not all that smart yet on the political scene and not sure who these folks are. But if they show up on my ballot and are against dole, they got my vote.

here is one

from 2005

For more information you would have to ask the large Moore county contingent.

Draft Brad Miller -- NC Sen ActBlue :::Petition

"Keep the Faith"

Too Nice

To Whom It May Concern:

What part of 'No' do you not understand?

"Dole says she'll see re-election"

I don't know if this is her first official announcement to seek re-election or not, but here it is anyway:

Dole says she'll seek re-election

Rob Christensen, Staff Writer
KINSTON - U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Dole hit the campaign trail Friday intent on seeking re-election in 2008.
Dole spoke at a Lenoir County GOP dinner Friday night, the first of a series of meetings with Republican groups and fundraising events she has planned for the coming weeks.

"I want to tell you tonight I am going to run for re-election to the United States Senate," Dole said, prompting a standing ovation from 250 people attending a Lincoln/Reagan Day barbecue dinner at Southwood Memorial Christian Church. "I am going to need your help as we rev up the campaign for 2008."

She also

Sent out a fundraising letter in early January. Sadly we wont be able to see how ineffective she is until mid April.

Draft Brad Miller -- NC Sen ActBlue :::Petition

"Keep the Faith"

Well, praise this..

If Elizabeth Dole hadn't run, we would have had a lot harder time picking up this seat. IMHO.

Where are the candidates?

Jesus Swept ticked me off. Too short. I loved the characters and then POOF it was over.

That's right.

Let's hope she's not lying again.

Great entry Blue South. I love your obsession. Don't get over it.

Dont worry

I already have another diary ready to go. Spent a few good hours today researching our "esteemed" Senator.

Draft Brad Miller -- NC Sen ActBlue :::Petition

"Keep the Faith"