He thinks that he will, according to the Charlotte Observer:
Another measure [of Black's strength] is the support he still claims from Democratic colleagues. On Thursday, fellow Democrats welcomed him to a news conference with a standing ovation. He believes he'll have the votes to be re-elected speaker in January.
"The members of my caucus know me best," Black says, "and when I talk to them (they say), Don't you even think about stepping aside. We've got important work to do."
If Black gets reelected to the House in the fall, well that's between him and his constituents. But is there no one among the 63 Democrats in Raleigh capable of taking on the job who might not also bring the whiff of scandal that Black wears like cologne? If so, that's just lame.