Perdue, Moore, and state employees

Justin Guillory did a great job with the Public Policy Polling blog and I hope to continue that, and also to reach out a little more in the blogosphere. So I am going to start cross posting relevant items on BlueNC a little more often.

From the PPP blog:

There's been a mini controversy brewing about polling, state employees, and the ceaseless Perdue/Moore bloodbath.

SEANC (the State Employees Association of North Carolina) recently commissioned a poll that showed 47% of responding members supporting Bev Perdue for Governor, with 32% supporting Richard Moore.

The poll was conducted by Hart Research Association, which also happens to be Perdue's pollster. My understanding is that Peter Hart himself works with SEANC while his partner Fred Yang works with Perdue, as he also worked with Mike Easley.

Some folks think that's a problem and some people don't, according to a Charlotte Observer article today.

Meanwhile Richard Moore's campaign released results from a poll it did showing Perdue with only a 32-30 lead over Moore among respondents who worked for state government or were state retirees.

My take:

-On the conflict of interest issue, it's really up to the members of SEANC and the Perdue campaign to decide if there's a problem or not. If both entities are comfortable with it, it doesn't seem like an issue.

-In the absence of more specifics the numbers Moore's camp put out are meaningless. If their poll surveyed 800 people I would guess fewer than 100 were current or retired state employees and with a sample of that size the results would have little significance. It would be good for the Moore campaign to release more specifics if they want to make the case that the SEANC numbers were overly friendly to Perdue.


Thanks, Tom

For posting this, and thanks for the possibility that you'll keep it coming. My view of how things work on the interTubes is simple: the more one gives, the more one gets. That's why I cross-post like crazy whenever I can.

Congratulations again on your new gig!


PS I was in the polling business for two decades. The idea that there would be any collusion or conflict-of-interest within Hart Research is ludicrous. Pollsters have one thing and one thing only going for them: the power of integrity. It would be suicidal for any successful polling organization to jeopardize trust in its brand. Peter Hart is a seasoned pro and an excellent businessman. I agree with you that it doesn't seem like an issue.